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Here’s the transcript from this week’s wide-ranging chat. Man, things be changing quickly round here… “Everyday it’s a-getting closer, Going faster than a rollercoaster, Love like yours will surely come my way, A-hey, a-hey-hey, Everyday it’s a-getting faster, Everyone said, “Go ahead and ask her,” Love
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The indices are hiding just how badly some of the highflying momentum stocks are being crushed out there. Cloud names especially are being hit hard, with many like TTD, OKTA, TWLO down double digit percentages. I’ve started a position in WORK here. The stock is down another 10% today,
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You know that the hype around a coming recession is high when even the random lady I sat next to at the airport who works at Microsoft in cloud sales immediately said to me when I told her what I do for a living: “Let me ask you something. Are
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Morning all. We did a weekly Q&A in the chat room this morning, even though I didn’t send out a notice to everybody. I’m baaaack from NYC and I’ll have some analysis and ideas from NYC that I’ll be writing up for you this
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Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. I’m selling my Altria MO today, more details below. Q. Best guess. When are negative interest rates coming to US? Will that crash the stock market or blow bubble even bigger? A. If the negative interest
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I’m headed to NYC tomorrow night for the rest of the week. I’ll be on Fox Business Friday morning August 30 from 6am til 9am ET. Doesn’t Friday feel like forever ago already? Maybe I should attribute that to a Kurzweil Singularity Rate* in the News Cycle.
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Our markets, if not our actual economy, are being driven by tweets, tariffs, trade wars and Trump (“The Four T’s”, copyright Cody Willard 2019 haha). Trump tweets, especially the ones about tariffs and trade wars, are driving our markets, at least intraday, if not our actual economy more often
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All it took was yet another tweet tit for a tariff tat to get the markets are worried about The Great Trade War of the 21st Century. Is the trade war going to create a US recession? Can it be resolved before one hits? I’ll write more about this
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Here’s the transcript for this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. When looking to build a core position to hold with conviction for many years please describe your thought process. Is intuition a significant part of that? A. Interesting you should ask that question. I just wrote
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At one point on August 1, the Nasdaq 100 was above 8000. Heading into August, I got a little bit bearish and highlighted the SMH in particular as a short. (Trade Alert: TXN pops, semi’s look ready to drop (and a change to my TV schedule)). Two trading days
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This morning, apparently the “real” yield curve inverted. Not that fake yield curve that inverted a few times already, in which you might have made the mistake of thinking that the 30-year Treasury or the 3-month Treasury might be important. No, apparently, it was only the 10 year and the
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“There is something frightening about the universe when we consider that only our senses of sound and sight make it beautiful. Just think, the universe is darker than the darkest ink; colder than the coldest ice and more silent than a silent tomb with all the bodies rushing through it
