Subscriber Chat Room Archive (October 10th – October 16th)
Here’s the past week’s discussion from the TradingWithCody.com Subscriber Chat Room:
zum
October 10, 2013 – 12:33 am
I’ve TSLA calls all the way up to $225 and TSLA shares. Lets see whether AAPL model wins or PALM model wins. Both had its ups and downs but, you know the rest. I’ve been riding TSLA from $92.
zum
October 10, 2013 – 12:34 am
Bought Nov $200 TSLA calls today.
zum
October 10, 2013 – 12:37 am
@doug.sekula: This yearly convention thinking is going on for few years now and it would be great if Cody is going to invite us to his ranch. LOL
zum
October 10, 2013 – 12:43 am
@jahmon: You know how the options work….if it goes to $17 in a week or so we should make at least 50%
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 8:06 am
@zum: yearly convention.
U know where cody lives? closest airport to his place? At some point some sort of a gathering sounds like it could be fun but will have to be very well thought out & planned to make it accommodative to people living east and west of Cody depending on chosen.
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 8:08 am
depending on chosen location for gathering.
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 10:06 am
The hints of progress generating a big lift for the market today is setting us back up for a major sell-the-news-reaction when they “negotiate” a so-called budget agreement. As my wife said she saw quoted yesterday, “So 3 wks ago we had enuf $ to invade Syria but today we can’t send social security checks or pay the veterans. Weird, huh?”
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 10:12 am
@Cody – My wife actually knows the parents of one of the 4 soldiers killed recently in Afghanistan. What total BS that they didn’t have the money to pay the “death benefit”
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 10:13 am
@calmdaw1: God bless. Where can we send a donation?
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 10:15 am
@Cody – the benefit will be payed, just delayed because political theater is more important than what happens to real people. The real ***** of it is that he would have been coming home this month anyway
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 10:16 am
@calmdaw1: Is the benefit enough?
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 10:16 am
Will his wife be okay?
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 10:17 am
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 10:18 am
I believe they will be fine financially but his 20 month old son will never get to know him
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 10:38 am
@calmdaw1: A multi generational tragedy!!!! and on top of that a travesty!
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 10:39 am
@Cody: GREAT point from your wife!!! The brains in the family!!
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 10:40 am
regarding Syria invasion we have the $$ for but SS and veterans and the like we cant agree so they do not get $$ to live
doug.sekula
October 10, 2013 – 10:48 am
Second tranche of TQNT? Thinking about it.
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 10:50 am
@doug.sekula: chart looks good all depends if U think (short term) we will have longer upside into debit ceiling deadline. Many stocks will tell us if we do rise a little longer and pullback as cody thinks if they had hit bottom on the 1st deep pullback or further to go as they will not fall as low the 2nd time around as they did the first.
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 10:56 am
@Cody – any thoughts on TSLA? not rallying nearly as much as the other momo stocks
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 11:07 am
@Cody: taking your e-mail advise and trimming some on this bounce that I bought for a trade
satishask
October 10, 2013 – 11:31 am
@Cody: My portfolio is only around 40K and I cannot buy dec 950 PCLN puts. Can I buy Dec 850 or is it too risky?
vmontes
October 10, 2013 – 11:40 am
Cody — You said “I’m buying back the PCLN puts I sold for quadruples earlier this week. Using December $950s.” but you bought Nov puts before. ??? Are you buying Nov or Dec now?
zum
October 10, 2013 – 11:55 am
@satishask: Check if there is mini options….usually 1 option refers to 100 shares of underlying stock but 1 mini refers to 10 shares of underlying stock.
zum
October 10, 2013 – 11:57 am
The phrase I like is “Occupy TV” is going on right now. We need short term deals, so that, Occupy TV members can entertain during Thanksgiving and Christmas.
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 11:58 am
Can you imagine the family fights after a few drinks around the holiday table if all this is raging through the holidays? Sheesh…I hope not.
calmdaw1
October 10, 2013 – 11:59 am
@zum – maybe a new reality series – Real scumbags of D.C.
satishask
October 10, 2013 – 12:01 pm
@zum: Thanks but There are no mini options for this.
satishask
October 10, 2013 – 12:02 pm
ie. for PCLN
Olivepetunia
October 10, 2013 – 12:06 pm
@zum: @satishask: PCLN has no minis
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 12:18 pm
@doug.sekula: FB rewarding dip buys in a BIG way for now!!
arnold
October 10, 2013 – 12:31 pm
Lindsay is taking it in the neck, but the report doesn’t seem all that bad. Does it look like time to buy another tranche?
rkumar
October 10, 2013 – 12:46 pm
fb strong
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 12:53 pm
@rkumar: market was quite oversold yesterday at 10am or so I had a few meetings and could not get online to buy but WOW from then some stocks up 10-15% already if not MORE like a LNKD YELP NFLX and others
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 12:55 pm
@rkumar: vix down 15% today to 16.6 yesterday at 10 or so must have been near 22. CREE doing very well XONE looks like it had agood pop and people taking profits
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 1:32 pm
I had a really good day yesterday…sold tons of XONE calls and all of my NFLX, YELP and some P puts right at the peak. Took some of the proceeds and bought FB and VIX puts which are doing great. Rarely goes this right so have to be thankful and recognize when it does.
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 1:33 pm
@jahmon: great moves. Seems like I bought your FB and yelp yesterday and today I handed the baton to me and others as we are having an outsized day
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:36 pm
@satishask: Depends on your risk tolerance. They’d probably go up if the $PCLN can decline another 10% in the next four weeks, u know?
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:37 pm
@satishask: But unless you’re YOUNG and upwardly mobile and you’re not looking to need that $40k anytime in the next couple decades, then I would just chill.
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:37 pm
@vmontes: Moved to DEC, I guess it’s not technically the SAME puts, but you know what i meant. Sorry to confuse u.
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:38 pm
@calmdaw1: REAL SCUMBAGS OF DC isn’t just a reality show — it’s a reality! #EndtheRDRegime #Indie4ever
doug.sekula
October 10, 2013 – 1:40 pm
@eryba1: So far so good on FB, got just about all of FB I want to hold into earnings. Will buy more FB before earnings if the price is right.
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 1:41 pm
@doug.sekula: sounds like a plan!
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 1:42 pm
lets have that cash if this bounce is just a one day wonder and we retest the lows from yesterday in the coming days as we relieve the oversold nature so far with todays bounce higher
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:45 pm
@arnold: Totally agree with you on $LNN. Report was great, steady growth, long-term secular grower, IMHO. “The company earned $10.4 million, or 81 cents per share, for the period that ended Aug. 31. That’s up from $8.8 million, or 68 cents per share, in the same quarter last year. Its revenue increased to $148.4 million from $127.8 million, helped by strong sales overseas including a major contract in Iraq. Sales in the U.S. slowed compared with a year ago when they were boosted by drought-driven sales in the corn belt. Analysts polled by FactSet were anticipating earnings of 91 cents per share on revenue of $155.7 million for the quarter. The latest quarter was also weighed down by higher expenses, including compensation and acquisition costs. Lindsay’s CEO and President Rick Parod said that the company sees a solid backdrop for long-term growth, based on trends in population, food production and water use.”
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:51 pm
@jahmon: Take some more profits right now and walk away from the poker table for 24 hours. See you Monday!
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:53 pm
FYI – All Star: RichardGobelPosted … 3m ago @Cody: $LNN really liking LLN number down here. Getting extreme, not there yet
Cody
October 10, 2013 – 1:53 pm
http://www.scutify.com/scuttles.html
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 1:54 pm
@Cody: cody have u heard the chatter on this site for a TWC gathering in NM?
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 1:55 pm
Need any Ranch hands?
seems the sense of community is growing here and some want to meet the folks in person at some point.
saied631
October 10, 2013 – 2:23 pm
I didn’t get any email notification for todays PCLN trade?!
ebdavids
October 10, 2013 – 2:25 pm
Cody: forgive me if you’ve answered this already — but would you recommending mirroring your PCLN get-back-in move with Pandora (P). While the % growth didn’t match yours with PCLN, yesterday I pared back on some of my P puts. Would you recommend I restore some of them. (Holding November and December ’13 $25s.)
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 3:05 pm
Anyone buying physical gold and silver down here?
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 3:06 pm
Boehner says will talk to president tonight about budget deal. SO market POPPED up 277, tom no deal down 200? thats why safer to sell some as cody suggested today
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 3:12 pm
I’ve been selling like crazy…
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 3:12 pm
@jahmon: LOL!!!
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 3:12 pm
@jahmon: I have been trimming but NOTHING CRAZY!!
eryba1
October 10, 2013 – 3:14 pm
deal news TOP another pop, thus relax trim some keep accounts at all time hi’s or new hi’s and have cash for / if / when next decline if NO deal by deadline
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 3:19 pm
Cody’s been tracking this thing pretty well so I’m counting my blessings, trimming and waiting for what I hope to be sweet playoff pitches.
jahmon
October 10, 2013 – 7:18 pm
@eryba1 Just to clarify but it doesn’t matter, I didn’t buy FB puts, I bought a little tranche of FB, and I bought some VIX puts.
Just saw your note and it was confusing they way I wrote it.
Lu
October 10, 2013 – 9:57 pm
Cody, I’m still holding Jan 102 IEF. With your recent comments I’m not sure what to do about them. If you’ve lost confidence in them, I’d rather roll them into PCLN puts.
zum
October 10, 2013 – 10:20 pm
@jahmon: If everything goes well and VIX goes down by $2 I will look into closing it
Lu
October 10, 2013 – 11:49 pm
I’m not getting email updates.
zum
October 11, 2013 – 1:36 am
Anyone in here know how to buy BMW puts? (ETF?) We need keyboard (Palm Berry) otherwise how do people type? We need 330lb generator for an URBAN car otherwise how do people drive ULTIMATE driving machine? http://www.engadget.com/2013/10/10/extended-range-bmw-i3-cost-45-300/#continued
zum
October 11, 2013 – 1:38 am
Don’t forget to read how the Ultimate driving machine crew thinks…..Lithium-ion batteries are safe even in the event of a fire. Enough said.
zum
October 11, 2013 – 1:45 am
Not sure if it comes with a rope to start the generator.
eryba1
October 11, 2013 – 6:13 am
@Lu: did u contact Bill the I.T guy for the site? sent in an e-mail to him?
SamsaricSufferer
October 11, 2013 – 6:14 am
@eryba1: @Lu: I was having the same problem. Bill fixed it the very day I sent him an email. He was quite prompt on it.
calmdaw1
October 11, 2013 – 8:56 am
gold dropping like a rock – ironic
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 9:50 am
@zum I’ll be honest. I got conservative yest afternoon and sold my VIX put for 35%. Didn’t feel overly greedy after 323 pt day.
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 10:08 am
@calmdaw1 yes, ironic…esp for me since I bought some physical gd and silver just yesterday
eryba1
October 11, 2013 – 10:09 am
@calmdaw1: at this point the gld seems destined to restest 116 or lower at which point i may buy some, but being flexible if things chasnge
tmercker
October 11, 2013 – 10:18 am
Has anyone traded the TVIX?
doug.sekula
October 11, 2013 – 10:44 am
Want to get 1 more final tranche of TQNT before earnings. Wonder if around here is “bottom”?
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 11:26 am
Thank goodness for small favors…my metals order yesterday had a hiccup and didn’t process so I was able to cancel with no penalties.
eryba1
October 11, 2013 – 11:37 am
@jahmon: u’ll know in the next few weeks if it was a blessing or other. Thats why its wise to buy in tranches vs all at once if that was the case. in the long term 1-2% diff from these levels vs where cody thinks gold is going is splitting hairs as he has HUGE targets for GOLD
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 11:39 am
Yep. I get it. Still sucked to buy and then wake up to the big drop, right? I’m already taking a bath in GDX calls, didn’t need that 2% head butt so it made me happy to avoid it for now.
eryba1
October 11, 2013 – 11:39 am
@jahmon: i understand!!
msamuels2000
October 11, 2013 – 11:49 am
Anyone jumping back in PCLN puts as Cody recommended? I messed the first one.
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 12:22 pm
I bought a contract. Even cheaper today than yesterday.
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 1:25 pm
What are the odds that our AAPL $500 calls go green by next Friday? Still 50/50?
eryba1
October 11, 2013 – 1:27 pm
@jahmon: slow and steady for aapl tracing upwards trajectory on its 50 day moving avg
badrook
October 11, 2013 – 1:47 pm
Is it good to trade TZA call options
Nels
October 11, 2013 – 1:55 pm
TZA is an inverse ETF; its opposite is the bull TNA. I’ve played leveraged ETFs for a while, and have found that the inverses seem to “decay” or lose more value during the overnight reset, than does the bull counterpart. If it was me, I’d play the PUT side of the bull TNA, rather than calls on TZA.
Nels
October 11, 2013 – 1:59 pm
When I play the financials, I use put/call options on FAS (for both directions), rather than FAZ.
jahmon
October 11, 2013 – 2:11 pm
Is it commonly held that if there is a debt deal that gold will take another hit? I just read this: “If there is a temporary stop-gap measure to avert a disaster of U.S. default, it will lead to gold market going even lower,” said Jeffrey Sica, chief investment officer of Sica Wealth, which manages over $1 billion of client assets. What do you make of this gold sell off, Cody?
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:41 pm
@all: I’ve not seen this before. Calls are dropping in value and puts aren’t increasing in value. How do you read this? People are becoming from bullish to neutral?
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:46 pm
example I know volatility is down….vix is down 49 cents but vix puts are not moving but calls are losing value…..same for FB
captainrich1
October 11, 2013 – 3:49 pm
@intendedt the intended recipienta
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:50 pm
@intended: intended for all recipients who can decipher it
captainrich1
October 11, 2013 – 3:51 pm
Sorry…
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:52 pm
@captainrich1: you don’t have to be sorry about…its all fun. I am just trying to understand the clue that the market is giving.
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:54 pm
Seems like the only buyers are those who are covering the shorts. Seems like there is enough force behind the scenes building for next week. Will it be like 2000 or 2008?
captainrich1
October 11, 2013 – 3:59 pm
Brand new. I wanna know why no news from D.C.incompetents is good news. It don’t seem right that mkt up a bit. I bought some VIX calls today.
zum
October 11, 2013 – 3:59 pm
but I think VIX being down is showing the poker hand and it will be like 2000
zum
October 11, 2013 – 4:00 pm
@captainrich1: This is one of those times where if I wish you good luck it is bad luck for me. But, I will wish you good luck.
captainrich1
October 11, 2013 – 4:04 pm
Well I bought dec15 calls. I like a little lead time. I understand about low balling but that’s how it was last week. If not I got vertical spreads GMCR VOD. Does anybody know latest on VOD? Any other bids in the wind? or unload it
Cody
October 11, 2013 – 5:12 pm
@captainrich1: I’d be shocked if there’s any other bid for $VOD. I think the upside is already baked in now.
zum
October 11, 2013 – 9:37 pm
Last evening was about Ultimate driving machine and this evening it is about price matching from GM. Cadillac ELR “plug-in” with 35 miles range. Enough said. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cadillac-plug-set-january-debut-194220839.html
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 9:34 am
GM- the coming deadline is in the cross hairs this week as Thursday is fast approaching. The market will be jerked around as a result of news coming washington. In the early morning it has been wise to sell the ramp thur and fri and trim to have extra capital to buy back at some point.
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 9:38 am
apple news- 5s outselling 5c 2-1. I was in an apple store this weekend with my family. I am shopping for a new system to replace my Dell. the Imac is a thing of BEAUTY and apple had a data transfer program to move all data from one machine to the other. My kids were glued to the new iphones and were loving the colors.
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 9:43 am
BTW- I am about to write an article about the DEATH of movie theaters. in my “RESEARCH” I have bought a 40″ 3D LED smart samsung for the bedroom. I ordered it from Amazon who had the best price shipping etc. I have to say I have the device for 4 days and It is A-M-A-Z-I-N-G!! I am not just referring to image quality of sports, who saw that UNREAL Patriots win vs the saints in the last 5 seconds. The picture quality is second to NONE!! The smart hub is just a game changer. I mean to access netflix, amazon prime, hulu, youtube and so so much more is just going to destroy the idea of going to a movie theater to see anew movie (especially when movies will in short time be released to the home on opening day as they do in theaters for a premium).
raj27on
October 14, 2013 – 9:45 am
GM to all. Has Cody posted on LNN- dropped like an anchor post earning?
musa
October 14, 2013 – 10:52 am
apple falling like a ton of bricks, hope it goes back up by end of day. im long options
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 11:01 am
shorts at VERY hi levels: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-14/hedge-fund-bears-at-year-high-as-equities-fixate-on-budget-talks.html
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 11:08 am
I’m still on the idea that the markets seem to be uber-confident about another big rally into year end commencing upon “debt ceiling solution.” Sell-the-news set-up, IMHO. No trades for me today either. Cash $$ heavy and more heavily hedged with puts than I’ve been in a while. Will add to the puts if the market spikes short-term.
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 11:09 am
@eryba1: Can’t wait! Was gonna call you today and ask you to write up an article on your favorite long idea(s) right now.
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 11:09 am
This survey shows that Hedge Fund Bears are at their highest level all year. Previously they were here in November 2012 and the summer of 2011.
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 11:10 am
@raj27on: Haven’t posted on LNN since the earnings drop, but I plan on adding another new tranche to it soon.
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 11:12 am
Did you know that there’s NO SUCH THING AS AN NOBEL PRIZE FOR ECONOMICS?! http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/10/14/nobel-laureate-fama-helped-bring-about-spy-other-index-funds/?mod=MW_home_latest_news It’s a scam, like most things economists do and say. http://exiledonline.com/the-nobel-prize-in-economics-there-is-no-nobel-prize-in-economics/ $$
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 11:36 am
intc tomoorow-
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 11:36 am
what are we expecting?
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 11:40 am
@rkumar: Expectations are VERY low, so anything but a terrible report will probably be flat-to-up after the report.
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 11:55 am
thx great dividend
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 11:55 am
when is oil going to collapse??its been going up for over a decade??
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 11:56 am
cree unstoppable–did they find gold??
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 12:56 pm
@rkumar: If CREE found gold, instead of making LEDs, the stock would probably crash like a gold miner ETF! Hoohah.
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:03 pm
@Cody: if the going theme from your weekend on your money crash your portfolio work is fear what does it say about the ongoing rise in stock prices? If no one is diggy as most have some sort of 401K, Ira, 529 plan, pension etc most should be seeing some better returns this year ( I know we had a lost decade). if most are fearful now does that say we have LONG way to go for some or more people to get giddy and this bubble to get even bigger and more people comfortable with it before a demise? Just wondering out loud
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 1:04 pm
@eryba1: Yup, probably right on all counts there.
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:05 pm
@Cody: At what % do U feel rates on the 10 year need to be to be competitive with stocks? any specific levels ranges? Or Cd rates for that matter perhaps?
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 1:06 pm
5%?
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:06 pm
on the 10 yr? or cd rates?
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:06 pm
or 5% rane on both Ok
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:07 pm
thats 5% rate on both! Ok gotcha
Cody
October 14, 2013 – 1:09 pm
@eryba1: Yeah, what’s the diff whether the 5% can be had on 10yrs or the CDs. Anything less than 5% is a joke and until something “safe” yields something closer to 5%, I don’t think there’s a competition for stock in general…at least until the bubble pops again. Again.
musa
October 14, 2013 – 1:14 pm
market goes after debt deal and maybe into year end except a select few stocks. you’ve got apple being one of them
musa
October 14, 2013 – 1:14 pm
goes down*
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:15 pm
@musa: so far apple is acting just fine marching slowly higher on its 50 day moving avg as support
musa
October 14, 2013 – 1:19 pm
@eryba1: yes apple goes higher into year end. im seeing $550. its time for a pullback in the broader markets
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:21 pm
@musa: based on what? we are not overbought? more shorts than in quite some time I posted bloomberg article link earlier today, scroll above to read / see.
musa
October 14, 2013 – 1:23 pm
@eryba1: ive been watching CNBC for the last couple of weeks and fund managers keep insisting we’re going higher. no one is even taking the possibility of a pullback seriously despite what that article says
Golfcar101
October 14, 2013 – 1:25 pm
you can have a pullback dosen`t mean we don`t go higher from there into year end
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:25 pm
@musa: ok will watch and see. I trimmed last week and cody has been bearish for all oct was his call / theme. On an individual basis MANy stocks acting VERY WELL so I am stocking with the individual stock picking theme and keeping portfolios at hi levels
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:25 pm
@Golfcar101: correct
musa
October 14, 2013 – 1:28 pm
i still think we go lower into year end and have a massive pullback. everyones bullish until things get ugly
Golfcar101
October 14, 2013 – 1:30 pm
not bullish or bearish just playing what market gives us until it tells us something different
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 1:51 pm
@musa: things are not all out bullish on many indicators, u cant go by what U see the talking heads on cnbc, Look at actual internals as bloomberg article detailed, mcclellan oscilaltor, cnnc fear green indicator just to name a few items to look at. Individual stock and their charts are the true tells
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 3:08 pm
i just got my nre iphone 5s –love it guys–
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 3:09 pm
aaple 600 nby xmas??and im not even christioan
rkumar
October 14, 2013 – 3:12 pm
is nazz 5000 coming before bubble pops??
randy
October 14, 2013 – 3:20 pm
seems to me a pullback would be healthy and lend itself to a higher year end
eryba1
October 14, 2013 – 3:23 pm
@randy: if u r referring to another pullback lets wait and see as we already had one pullback S&P 1725 to 1650 and individual names have pulled back
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 8:09 am
Tesla upgraded at Wedbush OCT 15, 2013 | 7:26 AM EDT TSLA was upgraded from Neutral to Outperform, Wedbush said. $240 price target. Survey results are indicating higher third generation market potential.
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 8:09 am
Microsoft upgraded at Jefferies OCT 15, 2013 | 7:55 AM EDT MSFT was upgraded to Buy from Hold, Jefferies said. Earnings were also increased through 2014 as there is increased optimism on operational capabilities and product line. $42 price target.
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 8:09 am
Qualcomm rated new Buy at Stifel OCT 15, 2013 | 7:50 AM EDT Coverage of QCOM was initiated with a Buy rating, Stifel Nicolaus said. $80 price target. Company can continue to grow along with the LTE market.
MikeM
October 15, 2013 – 8:24 am
@eryba1: Does Cody still have TSLA puts?
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 8:45 am
@MikeM: I believe so unless he trimmed on its decline from 190 to 170
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 8:47 am
Wait I think he just bought Puts in PCLN I am look at fridays e-mail from him on his trades for the week
SamsaricSufferer
October 15, 2013 – 9:25 am
He trimmed PCLN puts all week until he bought some back Thursday with a higher strike price, 960 vs 950 previously.
jpsr1975
October 15, 2013 – 10:32 am
PCLN puts ouchh!
jahmon
October 15, 2013 – 11:06 am
Cody, you buying more PCLN puts here?
msamuels2000
October 15, 2013 – 11:42 am
@jahmon: that second time going back to the well always bites you in the a….my hiney is a bit sore with the worthless GDXs after taking some nice profits the first time
jahmon
October 15, 2013 – 11:46 am
You still have a hiney? I hear you.
Cody
October 15, 2013 – 12:01 pm
@msamuels2000: Second time going back….good point. It’s why we take profits when they’re there and not just sit on our hands. I’ll make mistakes, you know, so don’t be greedy with options!
Cody
October 15, 2013 – 12:01 pm
@jahmon: Nah, letting the PCLN puts ride. They’re hedges, remember?
Nels
October 15, 2013 – 12:14 pm
I think GDX munched a bunch of us.
Nels
October 15, 2013 – 1:17 pm
I tranched in on common though, so my basis is only 24.something.
lawrenc338
October 15, 2013 – 1:46 pm
@Cody: If you had not yet taken a position on the PCLN puts, would you do it now? I know you’re letting your current position ride.
msamuels2000
October 15, 2013 – 2:37 pm
@Cody: No worries here – I don’t expect to win them all and actually I had acted before your recommendation so while I am definitely going to blame it all on you, I know who really made the call 8^)
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 2:39 pm
dow down 130 as alert says senate negotiations stalled
msamuels2000
October 15, 2013 – 2:52 pm
BBRY taking out full page ads to assure everyone everything is fine is kind of like the manager getting a vote of confidence or …keeping with the Godfather theme I’m reminded of Michael Corleone’s final reassuring kiss for Fredo
Lu
October 15, 2013 – 3:31 pm
@eryba1: what is Bill’s email so that I can get him to add my email address? Thanks
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 3:32 pm
@Lu: http://tradingwithcody.com/contact/
Lu
October 15, 2013 – 3:56 pm
@eryba1: are you and Cody still holding SNDK?
eryba1
October 15, 2013 – 3:57 pm
@Lu: Its not in my portfolio. I believe cody is still holding it. I swapped out of sndk at 60 and bot fslr after its decline from 51 to 35ish
Lu
October 15, 2013 – 3:58 pm
thanks. I think they report tomorrow
Lu
October 15, 2013 – 3:59 pm
I know Cody has liked it for a long time.
msamuels2000
October 15, 2013 – 4:18 pm
Intel beat but offered weak guidance. We are still a bit early on Intel but I think it’s the right call.
jimw
October 15, 2013 – 6:59 pm
just signed up and paid for your service but the site will not let me access your latest positions. Help
mohan0805
October 15, 2013 – 11:41 pm
Just signed up and paid for your service. where can i see your latest positions?
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 6:11 am
Wonder how APPLE cutting orders to suppliers will affect TQNT? If negative I’m in for another tranche before earnings!
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:12 am
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:12 am
@mohan0805: http://tradingwithcody.com/2013/09/06/codys-help-personalized-just-for-you-and-codys-latest-positions/
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:13 am
@jimw: @mohan0805: If U have any questions U can contact BILL the IT guy for this site here: http://tradingwithcody.com/contact/
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:16 am
@doug.sekula: Just yesterday we learned that iphone 5S was outselling 5C 2 to 1 so the more expensive unit better for margins is doing VERY WELL so 5C orders get cut as demand is not all there however it is for the 5S.
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 6:29 am
@eryba1: Would the margins change for TQNT if what they put in to both 5s and 5c are the same? Would that just affect AAPL’s margins? Or is it going to be the “total phones sold” that will drive TQNT’s earnings? Just looking/hoping to slip in like the pink panther for a little more TQNT before word hits the street. LOL.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:30 am
@doug.sekula: Good question. Bring it up in todays 2pm chat with cody.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:31 am
@doug.sekula: I would think margins are better on more expensive higher end phone and its stronger capabilities. If apple has a better selling higher margined product its better for them
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 6:33 am
sure TQNT does lose some business but is better selling unit is better margin biz for them and apple it should help not hurt. I have not added tqnt as of yet. I am holding my cash to see the debit ceiling deadline. do we default even for a day or so may see that 300pt down day cody was referring to lets watch and see
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 6:58 am
@eryba1: You can say I’m almost “all in” in my long positions waiting to “sell the news”. If we “sell the news” I would want to be back “in” before earnings which TQNT is one week away and FB two weeks from now (my two biggest positions) instead of selling the news I’m thinking on using any big decline in the markets tranche up one more time before earnings (love the risk). After earnings if there is still issues with the shutdown/debt BS I was thinking to sell at that time and wait for a bigger pullback to re enter, of course depending on the results of earnings. Sound logical?
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 7:20 am
@doug.sekula: all logical EXCEPT THE RISK!!
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 7:24 am
At this stage in each ones portfolios with the sky rocket ascent of CIEN FB CREE FF and few others AMZN If you have chosen wisely in your stock selections and some timing ex sell rips higher buy dips your accounts should be at or near all time hi’s. if thats the case Its always WISE to try to keep accounts there. No needed for added risk especially around earnings if the stocks have not run higher INTO them. Lets be cautious around the debit ceiling and earnings and try to maintain accounts at hi levels. have some cash. Perhaps trim some into earnings if the stock has run a lot as expectations may be very hi unless stocks pullback with debit ceiling and other into earnings.
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 7:36 am
I’m at all time highs!! Thanks to FB CIEN XONE and FSLR. And the TWC team.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 7:56 am
@doug.sekula: good to hear!
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 7:59 am
so protect yourself and ur acct. always have some cash, dont add or go all in on earnings especially if a stock has run a lot YTD and run into earnings vs a pullback of sorts just before earnings. Its wiser to play it safer as your accts grow, all the TWC subscribers. We need to protect out hard earned capital and invest when we see an edge, ride the momentum, trim and add on rips and dips, watch the charts and themes working in the markets.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 8:01 am
Intel upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley & Co.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 8:56 am
Juniper upgraded at MKM OCT 16, 2013 | 8:06 AM EDT JNPR was upgraded from Neutral to Buy, MKM Partners said. $26 price target. Service Provider growth can meaningfully accelerate.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 8:57 am
Cree estimates, target boosted at Credit Suisse OCT 16, 2013 | 8:19 AM EDT Shares of CREE now seen reaching $66, according to Credit Suisse. Estimates also upped, given stronger expected sales growth. Neutral rating.
jpsr1975
October 16, 2013 – 9:33 am
PCLN PUTS ARE KILLING ME
musa
October 16, 2013 – 9:38 am
@jpsr1975 pcln can be a monster. opens up 7 and finishes the day up 23 points. hope ur not overly leveraged in it
musa
October 16, 2013 – 9:39 am
meanwhile the craziness in washington continues. but who has faith in politicians anymore?
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 9:39 am
@musa: or ever
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 9:40 am
@musa: their elected to represent us not represent us BADLY!!
MikeM
October 16, 2013 – 9:42 am
@jpsr1975: I am not experienced with puts, but I am curious on what percentage your PCLN puts are down as I recall Cody recently sold some PCLN puts for 300% gain?
jpsr1975
October 16, 2013 – 10:00 am
@MikeM: i bought them back for 31.80 and are down 30%
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 10:11 am
powerful start to the day on hopes that a deal is almost done. lets watch the close
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 11:18 am
e-mail from cody now selling some FSLR buying some TQNT and letting ECTYQ BK go
Cody
October 16, 2013 – 11:33 am
@doug.sekula: Trim some things down and remember how wonderful this feels the next time you/we are in a down swing! Rock on, dude. Congrats.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 11:35 am
@Cody: doug asked asked agood quest this morning, Apple trimming of 5C chip orders hurts or help TQNT and or apple as 5S out selling 5C 2 to 1? thanks
Cody
October 16, 2013 – 11:35 am
@eryba1 great question. will work on that
flyfishin
October 16, 2013 – 11:37 am
i would think it’s still same number of chips just shifted to the 5S
Cody
October 16, 2013 – 11:38 am
@flyfishin: maybe even a higher ASP for the chips in the 5s vs 5c. Gotta run guys. Catcha later.
Olivepetunia
October 16, 2013 – 11:51 am
@MikeM: Check his calculations.
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 12:57 pm
Sold some FSLR and bought another tranche of TQNT.
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 12:58 pm
Was just waiting for the “sign” and I got it! LOL.
jjss
October 16, 2013 – 12:59 pm
Did cody say that he would look at the vix again at 15?
ebdavids
October 16, 2013 – 1:06 pm
@jpsr1975: my s;light variation on your statement: P (Pandora) PUTS ARE KILLING ME — and, correct me if I’m wrong, Elad — the underlying shares aren’t as volatile as PCLN. (Nov and Dec $@% puts, down 42% and 12%, respectively.) Got some time, though, and a couple of Cody’s prognostications to hang on…
jjss
October 16, 2013 – 1:18 pm
@eryba1: Did cody say that he would look at the vix again at 15?
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 1:20 pm
@ebdavids: pandora not on my screen. the market is very constructive some TA people I follow have S&p targets at 1745 as next target to be attained. Lets watch and see. Elon Musks TSLS and now SCTY stocks are on fire. TSLA was a 25 dollar stock last summer. Solar City = SCTY was 11 dollars last dec today 52 up near 12%. I am liking the move in FSLR and would like to see if it is on a new leg higher bk to 48-49 resistance.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 1:20 pm
@jjss: dont recall that
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 1:30 pm
if anyone is listening to the bank ceo’s and builders this debit ceiling is already hurting the economy. What is especially of interest is the tens of BILLIONS people are funneling to their savings accounts as they are fearful of whats going on. The usual pattern has been that investors and money managers put $$ they are given to work in the markets. It is ONLY after individual investors start to POUR money into the markets as they start to feel safer that the REAL BUBBLE gets going. Lets watch and see in the coming Months and years where those $$ direction is heading. Cody mentioned rates start to get competitive with stocks as cd’s or the 10yr gets to 5%. Today the 10yr is at 2.63. Let watch very carefully as this bubble further inflates and gets some competition.
doug.sekula
October 16, 2013 – 2:08 pm
Now that there’s a “deal” is anybody trimming?
jahmon
October 16, 2013 – 2:24 pm
@Doug I’ve been trimming for about 10 days, my man.
My biggest decision right now is INTC. There’s a good article today on Seeking Alpha regarding INTC from an INTC bull who thinks it is dead money for awhile but a good long term play. I’m thinking of cutting my losses on those INTC calls…Obviously a big day in the market and those calls lost 14-16%
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 2:32 pm
@jahmon: I know cody likes INTC and its hopeful eventual PUSH into the mobile category and their outsized 4% yield. I think he MAY be right but lets just follow the charts here. the OLD 4 horseman are dead or Geriatric. MSFT,ORCL,CSCO & INTC and a 90’s story. The new horseman are social media based, hi speed data, tech, APP and “GREEN” companies the like YELP,LNKD,AMZN,FB,TSLA,FSLR, CIEN,CRM, Apple I hope, ZNGA,SCTY, JNPR, 3D printing companies
jahmon
October 16, 2013 – 2:44 pm
@elad I’m in most of those too!
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 2:44 pm
@jahmon: then U R having an outsized banner year if you are also navigating as cody is trying to to by selling rips higher and buying dips
jjss
October 16, 2013 – 2:45 pm
@eryba1: so you’re going the other direction than cody on TSLA too…
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 2:46 pm
@jjss: I am not invested in it myself I believe in the product GREATLY. ELoN Musk is in Solar city to provide his OWN energy to power his own cars!! Its become a CULT stock as Cramer likes to say and if U ever sat in one, seen it, test driven it U will know why.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 2:51 pm
BTW I think AMAZOn will / should have a GREAT QTR to report If only speaking for the variety and qty of things my family has ordered in the past 3 months : )Its crazy how we have ordered from the subscribe and save everything from kleenex, Pampers, Zico water, Alo drinks, Kind bars, tide, bounty on a repeated once a month cycle, free shipping, rt to your door etc it saves us so much time and effort vs the BIG box costco and Bjs. I am also looking for a new office table and filing cabinet and amazon has some gorgeous pieces http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0084KMO9I/ref=ox_sc_sfl_image_3?ie=UTF8&psc=1 even if thru a 3rd party on some items
Johan
October 16, 2013 – 2:53 pm
I also do not think TSLA is good for short. I like its car and I really believe they can have great future. I bought in the 30s but unfortunately I got out in the 50s…
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 2:55 pm
@Johan: I understand near a double the urdge to sell, but it always pays to sell some and let the rest ride. I ONLY WISh I had bought like U at 25 last summer when I saw the car in a showroom mall for 90 min and almost test drove it was a STUNNING VEHICLE inside and out!!
flyfishin
October 16, 2013 – 2:58 pm
TSLA got downgraded today by S&P Capital i believe it was due to high valuation.
MikeM
October 16, 2013 – 3:14 pm
@flyfishin: TSLA gets an upgrade yesterday and downgrade today. A week or two ago Cody thought potentially a 30% downside.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:23 pm
@MikeM: correct one day up one day down. Cody has his feelings markets have theirs no one will be correct 100% of the time. Cody was dead rt on the day he said things r frothy and then stocks like LNKD YELP PCLN TSLA all fell 10-15% in short order if not more but have since recovered most of that decline
jahmon
October 16, 2013 – 3:23 pm
@eryba1 I’ve made major gains over the last 5 months or so, but still digging out of huge losses on Apple and FIO early in the year.
MikeM
October 16, 2013 – 3:24 pm
@eryba1: Agreed
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:38 pm
@jahmon: sorry to hear HOWEVER take a positive from it! DIVERSIFYDIVERSIFY, watch the charts if U have a FULL position in a single stock and it falls 10-15 % U determine the % based on your tolerance U MUST SELL. U can recover from a 10% loss but if U ride a Big holding or even medium holding down it can set u back a very long time to reestablsih those levels U were at. U cant avg down as U already have a full position on
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:39 pm
if a stock falls below its 50 day avg and again u have a full position on take some off or more, Unless it comes out of the blue the chart and stock price action will tell U what is going on , does it find support on dips, does chart look good etc
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:45 pm
Apple Inc. shares added 0.5% to rise for a sixth session. The stock’s buy rating was reiterated and its price target raised to $580 from $560 at Canaccord Genuity. “Our global handset sell-through survey work indicates a significantly higher sell-through mix of iPhone 5s versus 5c that should benefit near-term [average selling prices] and margins,” Canaccord’s Michael Walkley said in a note distributed late Tuesday.
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:50 pm
FB really starting to move here!!
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 3:50 pm
wish had more volume but 3.5% gain so far today
jahmon
October 16, 2013 – 4:04 pm
@eryba1 TWC has been a great learning experience for me. I’ve screwed up and lost some money in the early going, but I’m learning to fish, and if I can fish successfully, then the painful memories of the ones that got away early will fade. How’s that for a fishing metaphor?
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 4:08 pm
@jahmon: better one or original one. Give a man a fish feed him for a day, teach a man to fish he can feed himself forever
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 4:09 pm
if we never made mistakes we would never LEARN, we need to use the mistakes to learn from what NOT TO DO to repeat them going forward otherwise we are doomed to repeat those same mistakes over and over
eryba1
October 16, 2013 – 4:14 pm
sndk reported good #’s A/H declares Q4 dividend, market reaction up 2.5%. IBM down 4.5% A/H
