All - Trading with Cody (Page 50)

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Stick With The Game Plan

Another day, another big move in the markets. At least initially to the higher side. I’m sticking with the game plan, doing a little trimming and reshorting some indices to keep hedged. I’m writing up a bunch of analysis about what we should expect for the economy and

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The Difference Between Down And Up (And I’m Trimming This Spike As Planned)

Up, no, now down! Wait, up and up more. Wait down, it’s a crash. It’s another crash. Wait, it’s a big rally! Can you tell the difference between the up and down days? Well, today brings us just exactly the kind of insane bounce of 10-30% in

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Don’t doubt the USA or mankind’s ability to prosper

We’re living through a crash. We might have just lived through a crash. But we might still be in the process of living through a crash. The markets hate confusion. The markets can’t discount future cash flows if nobody has any idea what future cash flows will look

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Economic Depression Is Possible, But Not Likely

Before the Kurzweil Rate of Change sped things up, here are the generally accepted definitions an economic recession vs. an economic depression: A recession is the contraction phase of the business cycle. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) describes it this way: ‘A recession is a period of decline

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Trend Trading, Government “Help,” Bannon vs Bailouts, Buying Bitcoin & More

These markets have been historically crazy for the last month. That’s just a fact. Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Some of our stocks are down below our original basis. Wouldn’t it be better for us to trade with the

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Trade Alert: Who’s Going to Benefit In This Strange New World

It’s a strange new world we find ourselves in. Prayers for everybody affected by the Coronavirus, which at this point, is all of us. This is a human tragedy first. But my job… Look, the US and the whole world are already in a major recession. Revenues at companies

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Trade Alert: Prepare For Better Times

I’m glad I’m not in NYC this week. Wish I hadn’t taken my family there last week. There’s no doubt that the developed world has become Coronavirus obsessed. I would imagine a lot of this germ-phobia is going to stay with us, and that next year

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Trade Alert: Don’t Panic When Everybody’s Panicking

I know that governments’ actions are almost always incompetent, so I’m not terribly surprised that the government has been totally incompetent in how it has approached the coronavirus breakout, but it is always surprising the ways in which they mess something up. In this case, wouldn’t it have

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Recession vs Markets, Is it too late to hedge, What’s up with gold, and much more

Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Be careful out there, but don’t panic. Q. Hey Cody, I agree with your overall take here but I think the concern for many is that it feels like covid 19 wont ebb and get solved

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Trade Alert: Flow into the market’s ebb

Over the last five weeks, I’ve been to NYC twice and visited Austin and Las Vegas too. With the novel coronavirus still growing in the US, I’m going to stop traveling for at least the next four weeks. I got back from NYC early this morning and am

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Trade Alert: Seeing more trading opportunities in this crazy market

Was it just yesterday that I wrote: “I’m going to trim down a little bit of my longs into this huge rally and add a few more index puts and rebuild the index shorts a bit when the market rallies like it did today.” Well, this morning, the markets

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Portfolio Strategies For The Kurzweil Singulary Rate of Change Market

Holy crap, how about that move off the bottoms when we were buying Friday??? The extreme moves in the markets and stock prices and economic activities lately remind me to use my theory of my Kurzweil Singularity Rate of Change which I define as: What happens if it all works

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