Cody Willard

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Playbook for the Fed cycle

CNBC reports: Stocks ripped higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said interest rates are close to neutral, a change in tone from remarks the central bank chief made nearly two months ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 617.70 points, or 2.5 percent, to 25,

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The Fed, Stock Markets, The Fed, Cryptos, Christmas Songs and The Fed

What if everything you read and hear about the Federal Reserve, rate cycles and the stock market is all wrong? It probably is. It sure has been for decades. So how many money managers, hedge fund managers and home investors have told me that the stock market is in big

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The next 1, 5, 10 and 50 years: How and why society will create a future of cryptocurrencies

The Great Cryptocurrency Crash is in full bloom now with bitcoin down almost 80% from its highs back in December. Nobody’s asking me about bitcoin or cryptocurrencies any more, unlike four months ago when everybody in the Chat Room, at The Money Show, at CES Las Vegas was asking

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Subscribers agree: It’s panicky action

Here’s the transcript to this week’s Live Q&A Chat. I’ll be around tomorrow if the markets get crushed again. Q. Good morning Cody, how do you view the year end? There is a lot of negative headlines around and our tech stocks being beaten to

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Trade Alert: Trimming some of our index puts into another panicky open

Stocks crushed again this morning. Here’s what I’m going to do. With the Nasdaq down another 2.5% this morning, I’m going to sell about 1/3 of my SPY and QQQ puts. And that’s it for now. Lots of great Q&A from our

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Keep the hedges on, Verizon is the ultra-contra-stock, Chat tomorrow 9am ET

The markets didn’t trade like they knew it was a holiday-shortened trading week and that Santa is supposed to be riding to the rescue. I did a tiny bit of nibbling into the panicky sell-off action today but I’m far from being aggressive about buying — I still own

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Trade Alert: Stocks crushed. Two nibbles and locking in profits on the AMD puts

Stocks are getting crushed with the Nasdaq down more than 3% on the day as I type this at 11:25am ET. I spent almost an hour on the phone with a very insightful source who runs sales at one of our smaller cap Revolution Investments. Then I hung up

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Most stocks still aren’t cheap yet, Pot stocks are still bubbled, We’ll be opportunistic

In the middle of October’s stock market tanking (as I started to take some profits on the put hedges we’d been buying when the markets had been making new all-time highs in September), I wrote that “the very stretched and bubblicious valuations that are rampant from a bottom

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Some Deep Thoughts on Investment Strategies, Hedge Funds and Dreams

When I was an engineering student at UNM, I took a macro economic class and learned among other things that the economics principles came quite naturally to me. After years of not loving my classes and near burnout as I bounced around different engineering majors, I quickly changed majors to

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Apple suppliers, Why I went from GE bear to bull, Calix, Nvidia and more

Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. With two of $AAPL’s suppliers ($LITE & $SWKS) having warned that they will miss revenue estimates big time, why aren’t you more concerned about what they might be signaling about iPhone revenues at Apple?

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Trade Alert: One more tiny AAPL options tranche

If there’s another whoosh down today, I’ll likely do a little trimming of my index put hedges and I might do a little more buying. For now, I’m going to do a one more small trade this morning. I’m buying another TINY tranche of AAPL call

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Trade Alert: Apple options trade

I’m going to be opportunistic again here this morning and nibble some AAPL call options dated out into February with strike prices around $200. The stock is down a bunch since we trimmed some near its all-time highs a few weeks ago and is probably a bit oversold. I’