All

Trade Alert: Taking some put profits as the markets hissy fit about the Fed

The markets remain jittery and today’s reversal coming after the Fed decision to raise rates 20 bps is getting the fear factor up. Maybe it’s not jittery now. It’s a hissy fitty market? I’m thinking sentiment is getting to be bearish  enough to an extreme that,

All

Capitulation, Bear markets, Apple, Crypto, Gold and MUCH MORE

What a chat we had this morning. You’ll see below how many topics we ran though and I left them in the order they were asked and answered as there was an interesting “flow” to the chat itself today. You’ll see an undercurrent of worry with a little

All

Wars, Revolutions, Markets…and Opportunities

As I read through the most recent two editions of the Wall Street Journal , I was surprised at how much of what I was reading was actually meaningful, if you know what I mean. Long-time followers of mine know how often I tell you guys to look past the headlines

All

Trade War Worries, Trading Strategies and WiNR Ratio analysis of several stocks

Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Good morning all. Let’s do this. Sorry I’ve not been around in the Chat Room much lately, I’ve just been in full hedge fund launch mode and as my wife told me this weekend

All

Buy panics, trim rallies, keep smiling

Stocks bounced pretty strongly off their morning lows, with the Nasdaq leading the way, up more than 2% off the morning’s bottom. The markets won’t make it easy on the bulls or the bears. Expect more volatility. Be careful. Don’t chase. Buy panics. Trim and add hedges

All

Predictions and playbook for the near-, mid- and longer-term (Or: The Great Global Trade War of the 21st Century is STILL not bullish)

A lot of investors and pundits are starting to freak out. Meanwhile, I hope most of you, like me, have been cautious, actively raising cash and adding hedges already to prepare for this downturn. I got a bit bearish earlier this year and have been quite cautious ever since. The

All

Trade Alert: Taking profits on some index puts

It’s sure gotten a bit panicky out there today as the Russell 2000 small cap index makes new lows today. The Nasdaq, S&P 500 and the DJIA are all just about 1-3% away from their intraday lows in October. There are probably a lot of algorithms and

All

WiNR Ratio Algorithm Analysis of Our Positions (while The Great Trade War gets real)

It’s finally dawning on traders and investors that The Great Trade War of the 21st Century (I should have copyrighted that the first time I used it a year ago) is actually real and the Fog of War casualties that I’ve been warning about are starting to arrive.

All

FB, AMZN, NVDA in five years + Crypto questions galore + Oil + more

Despite the bounce yesterday, I’d still be careful out there in trying to catch a bottom and I wouldn’t chase these stocks this morning. Here’s the transcript for this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Feet go fire where are FB and AMZN trading in

All

Algorithms, programs and processes for the new hedge fund

Starting January 1, I’ll be off the races in my new hedge fund. And I’ve got some important new tricks up my sleeve. After spending more than twenty years developing my approach to investing and trading, I’ve found that each proposed trade/investment (equity, options, cryptocurrencies, crowdfunding,

All

Playbook for the Fed cycle

CNBC reports: Stocks ripped higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said interest rates are close to neutral, a change in tone from remarks the central bank chief made nearly two months ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 617.70 points, or 2.5 percent, to 25,

All

The Fed, Stock Markets, The Fed, Cryptos, Christmas Songs and The Fed

What if everything you read and hear about the Federal Reserve, rate cycles and the stock market is all wrong? It probably is. It sure has been for decades. So how many money managers, hedge fund managers and home investors have told me that the stock market is in big